NZ dollar nears record vs. A$ as retail sales beat expectations
The New Zealand dollar rose against its Australian counterpart as retail sales beat expectations, reinforcing the view that the economic tide is in New Zealand's favour compared to that of its nearest neighbour.
The kiwi climbed as high as 96.48 Australian cents, and was trading at 96.34 cents at 5pm in Wellington from 95.92 cents on Friday in New York. It gained to 75.07 US cents at 5pm from 74.50 cents at 8am and 74.52 cents last week.
New Zealand government figures showed retail sales rose 1.7 percent in the final three months of the year, beating estimates for a 1.3 percent gain. The data reinforce growing momentum in local consumer spending as the labour market picks up and low credit costs spur demand. Upbeat consumer sentiment is one of several reasons Reserve Bank governor Graeme Wheeler has decided to keep the official cash rate at 3.5 percent for the time being, while a slowing economy across the Tasman has seen Australia's central bank cut rates this month to a record-low 2.25 percent.
"The news out of Australian is not good, while out of New Zealand it's okay to good," said Imre Speizer, market strategist at Westpac Banking Corp in Auckland. The kiwi/Australian dollar cross-rate "has got some pretty strong momentum at the moment."
Westpac's Speizer said the kiwi dollar could test the record 96.52 Australian cents it reached last month, though may struggle to break higher.
The next major event for the kiwi dollar is the GlobalDairyTrade auction on Tuesday in the US, which investors are monitoring after a strong gain in whole milk powder prices at the last auction a fortnight ago, followed by the Wednesday release in in Washington of minutes to the Federal Open Market Committee's last policy meeting, Speizer said.
The kiwi advanced to 88.90 yen at 5pm in Wellington from 88.47 yen on Friday in New York after data showed Japan's gross domestic product grew at an annualised 2.2 percent pace in the three months ended Dec. 31, missing the 3.6 percent expected by economists.
The local currency increased to 65.73 euro cents from 65.44 cents last week, and rose to 48.65 British pence from 48.38 pence. It gained to 4.6901 Chinese yuan from 4.6500 yuan last week. The trade-weighted index climbed to 77.74 from 77.16 on Friday in New York.
The two-year swap rate rose to 3.5525 at 5pm in Wellington from 3.54 on Friday, and the 10-year swap rate increased to 3.735 from 3.73.